Saint Louis City 0-3 Los Angeles FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 28 Sep 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Los Angeles FC50%
- Saint Louis City 27%
- Draw 23%
- Los Angeles FC 50%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 50.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Saint Louis City won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Saint Louis City: WDWDW
Los Angeles FC: DLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Saint Louis City vs Los Angeles FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Saint Louis City vs Los Angeles FC | 0–3 |
| 2025-04-27 | Los Angeles FC vs Saint Louis City | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Los Angeles FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Los Angeles FC kick off?
- Sun, 28 Sep 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.