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Los Angeles Galaxy crestLos Angeles GalaxyvsPortland Timbers crestPortland Timbers

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerThu, 15 Oct 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Los Angeles Galaxy43%

Los Angeles Galaxy 43%
Draw 25%
Portland Timbers 32%
  • Los Angeles Galaxy 43%
  • Draw 25%
  • Portland Timbers 32%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Los Angeles Galaxy, rating it at 43.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Los Angeles Galaxy won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Los Angeles Galaxy: DLLWL

Portland Timbers: WDWLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-04-28Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers2–4
2025-03-16Portland Timbers vs Los Angeles Galaxy1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers?
Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles Galaxy (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers kick off?
Thu, 15 Oct 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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