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San Diego FC crestSan Diego FCvsHouston Dynamo crestHouston Dynamo

San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerThu, 15 Oct 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs San Diego FC56%

  • San Diego FC 56%
  • Draw 22%
  • Houston Dynamo 22%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick San Diego FC, rating it at 56.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and San Diego FC won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

San Diego FC: WLWWW

Houston Dynamo: LWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 4.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-21Houston Dynamo vs San Diego FC1–0
2025-10-05Houston Dynamo vs San Diego FC2–4
2025-07-06San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo3–4

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FAQ

Who will win San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo?
Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
Thu, 15 Oct 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the San Diego FC vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.67 goals per game.

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