Real Salt Lakevs
San Jose EarthquakesReal Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 15 Oct 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Salt Lake41%
- Real Salt Lake 41%
- Draw 23%
- San Jose Earthquakes 36%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Real Salt Lake, rating it at 41.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Real Salt Lake won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Real Salt Lake: LLDWW
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 53 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-23 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Salt Lake (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.