Real Salt Lakevs
San Jose EarthquakesReal Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerThu, 15 Oct 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Salt Lake41%
- Real Salt Lake 41%
- Draw 23%
- San Jose Earthquakes 36%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Real Salt Lake, rating it at 41.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Real Salt Lake won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Salt Lake: LLWDW
San Jose Earthquakes: DLLWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-27 | Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–1 |
| 2025-02-23 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake | 4–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Salt Lake (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.