San Diego FC crestSan Diego FCvsLos Angeles Galaxy crestLos Angeles Galaxy

San Diego FC 3-1 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 30 Aug 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs San Diego FC62%

  • San Diego FC 62%
  • Draw 19%
  • Los Angeles Galaxy 19%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick San Diego FC, rating it at 61.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and San Diego FC won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 19.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 12 Sep 2026.

San Diego FC: LLWWL

Los Angeles Galaxy: LWLDW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-30San Diego FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy3–1
2025-05-24San Diego FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy2–1
2025-02-24Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego FC0–2

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FAQ

Who will win San Diego FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does San Diego FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy kick off?
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the San Diego FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureLos Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego18 Oct 2026 →