Los Angeles Galaxy crestLos Angeles GalaxyvsSeattle Sounders FC crestSeattle Sounders FC

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 13 Sep 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Los Angeles Galaxy44%

  • Los Angeles Galaxy 44%
  • Draw 24%
  • Seattle Sounders FC 32%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Los Angeles Galaxy, rating it at 44.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Los Angeles Galaxy won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 12 Sep 2026.

Los Angeles Galaxy: LWLDW

Seattle Sounders FC: DDDLL

Head-to-head

As of 12 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.33Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-17Seattle Sounders FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy0–2
2025-09-14Seattle Sounders FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy2–2
2025-08-11Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders FC0–4

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FAQ

Who will win Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders FC?
Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles Galaxy (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders FC kick off?
Sun, 13 Sep 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Los Angeles Galaxy vs Seattle Sounders FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legSeattle Sounders 2-2 Los Angeles Galaxy14 Sept 2025 →