Minnesota United FCvs
Chicago FireMinnesota United FC 0-3 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 21 Sep 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC51%
- Minnesota United FC 51%
- Draw 22%
- Chicago Fire 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 51.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Minnesota United FC did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Minnesota United FC: WLDWD
Chicago Fire: DWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-21 | Minnesota United FC vs Chicago Fire | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Minnesota United FC vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sun, 21 Sep 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Minnesota United FC vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.