Minnesota United FCvs
Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FC 1-2 Colorado Rapids — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 10 Aug 2025 22:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC62%
- Minnesota United FC 62%
- Draw 22%
- Colorado Rapids 16%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 61.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Minnesota United FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Minnesota United FC's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Colorado Rapids's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Minnesota United FC: LLDWL
Colorado Rapids: DLWLW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-10 | Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids kick off?
- Sun, 10 Aug 2025 22:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.