Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Portland TimbersSporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 11 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Portland Timbers41%
- Sporting Kansas City 35%
- Draw 24%
- Portland Timbers 41%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Portland Timbers, rating it at 40.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Sporting Kansas City: LWLLW
Portland Timbers: WDWLL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City | 6–0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers | 2–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?
- Tofiko's model favours Portland Timbers (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.