Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Portland TimbersSporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 11 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Portland Timbers41%
- Sporting Kansas City 35%
- Draw 24%
- Portland Timbers 41%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Portland Timbers, rating it at 40.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 48 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Sporting Kansas City: DLLLW
Portland Timbers: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 48 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City | 6–0 |
| 2025-05-11 | Portland Timbers vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers | 2–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers?
- Tofiko's model favours Portland Timbers (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.