Minnesota United FCvs
San Diego FCMinnesota United FC 1-1 San Diego FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 02 Aug 2026 00:40 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC45%
- Minnesota United FC 45%
- Draw 25%
- San Diego FC 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 44.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Minnesota United FC won 1 of 4, with 2 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Minnesota United FC: LDWDL
San Diego FC: LWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Minnesota United FC vs San Diego FC | 1–1 |
| 2026-04-10 | San Diego FC vs Minnesota United FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-09-14 | San Diego FC vs Minnesota United FC | 1–3 |
| 2025-06-15 | Minnesota United FC vs San Diego FC | 2–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Minnesota United FC vs San Diego FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Minnesota United FC vs San Diego FC kick off?
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:40 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Minnesota United FC vs San Diego FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.