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Nashville SC crestNashville SCvsAtlanta United FC crestAtlanta United FC

Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSat, 18 Jul 2026 00:20 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Nashville SC 10 Atlanta United FC

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nashville SC68%

Nashville SC 68%
Draw 20%
Atlanta United FC 12%
  • Nashville SC 68%
  • Draw 20%
  • Atlanta United FC 12%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 67.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Nashville SC won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 67.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 19.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Nashville SC: LWWWW

Atlanta United FC: LDLLL

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-18Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC1–0
2026-04-17Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC0–2
2025-08-31Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC0–1
2025-05-03Atlanta United FC vs Nashville SC1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC?
Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC kick off?
Sat, 18 Jul 2026 00:20 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Nashville SC vs Atlanta United FC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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