Nashville SC crestNashville SCvsCF Montreal crestCF Montreal

Nashville SC 1-0 CF Montreal — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerThu, 23 Jul 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nashville SC67%

  • Nashville SC 67%
  • Draw 20%
  • CF Montreal 13%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 66.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Nashville SC won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 20.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026.

Nashville SC: LDWWW

CF Montreal: LLDLD

Head-to-head

As of 11 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-23Nashville SC vs CF Montreal1–0
2025-10-04CF Montreal vs Nashville SC1–1
2025-03-23Nashville SC vs CF Montreal3–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?
Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Nashville SC vs CF Montreal kick off?
Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Nashville SC vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

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Reverse fixtureCF Montreal vs Nashville SC24 Oct 2026 →