Nashville SC 1-0 CF Montreal — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 23 Jul 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC67%
- Nashville SC 67%
- Draw 20%
- CF Montreal 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 66.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Nashville SC won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Nashville SC: LDWWW
CF Montreal: LLDLD
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Nashville SC vs CF Montreal | 1–0 |
| 2025-10-04 | CF Montreal vs Nashville SC | 1–1 |
| 2025-03-23 | Nashville SC vs CF Montreal | 3–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Nashville SC vs CF Montreal?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nashville SC vs CF Montreal kick off?
- Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Nashville SC vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.