Nashville SC crestNashville SCvsFC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati

Nashville SC 4-0 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 30 Aug 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Nashville SC42%

  • Nashville SC 42%
  • Draw 25%
  • FC Cincinnati 33%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 42.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Nashville SC won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 12 Sep 2026.

Nashville SC: LDWWW

FC Cincinnati: LLDWD

Head-to-head

As of 12 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-30Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati4–0
2025-09-13FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC2–1
2025-03-30Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?
Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
Sun, 30 Aug 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureFC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC7 Nov 2026 →