Nashville SCvs
FC CincinnatiNashville SC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 30 Aug 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC48%
- Nashville SC 48%
- Draw 23%
- FC Cincinnati 29%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 47.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Nashville SC won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Nashville SC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Nashville SC: LWWWW
FC Cincinnati: LWWWD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-13 | FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-30 | Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Nashville SC vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.