Nashville SCvs
Houston DynamoNashville SC 3-1 Houston Dynamo — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 28 Sep 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Nashville SC60%
- Nashville SC 60%
- Draw 22%
- Houston Dynamo 18%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Nashville SC, rating it at 60.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Nashville SC won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Nashville SC's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Nashville SC: WWWLW
Houston Dynamo: LWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-28 | Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo?
- Tofiko's model favours Nashville SC (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
- Sun, 28 Sep 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.