New England Revolutionvs
Orlando CityNew England Revolution vs Orlando City Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 19 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New England Revolution40%
- New England Revolution 40%
- Draw 24%
- Orlando City 36%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New England Revolution, rating it at 40.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New England Revolution won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Orlando City's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. New England Revolution's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Orlando City's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
New England Revolution: WDLWL
Orlando City: WWLWD
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 5.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | New England Revolution vs Orlando City | 3–4 |
| 2025-07-19 | New England Revolution vs Orlando City | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-10 | Orlando City vs New England Revolution | 3–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New England Revolution vs Orlando City?
- Tofiko's model favours New England Revolution (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does New England Revolution vs Orlando City kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New England Revolution vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 5.33 goals per game.