New England Revolutionvs
Orlando CityNew England Revolution vs Orlando City Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 19 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New England Revolution40%
- New England Revolution 40%
- Draw 24%
- Orlando City 36%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New England Revolution, rating it at 40.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New England Revolution won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 27 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
New England Revolution: WLLDW
Orlando City: WLDDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 27 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 5.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | New England Revolution vs Orlando City | 3–4 |
| 2025-07-19 | New England Revolution vs Orlando City | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-10 | Orlando City vs New England Revolution | 3–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New England Revolution vs Orlando City?
- Tofiko's model favours New England Revolution (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does New England Revolution vs Orlando City kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New England Revolution vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 5.33 goals per game.