New York City FCvs
Inter Miami CFNew York City FC 0-4 Inter Miami CF — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Wed, 24 Sep 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC41%
- New York City FC 41%
- Draw 22%
- Inter Miami CF 37%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York City FC, rating it at 40.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and New York City FC won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Inter Miami CF's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. New York City FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
New York City FC: LDDDL
Inter Miami CF: DDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-24 | New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF | 0–4 |
| 2025-02-23 | Inter Miami CF vs New York City FC | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF kick off?
- Wed, 24 Sep 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New York City FC vs Inter Miami CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.