?
New York City FC crestNew York City FCvsMinnesota United FC crestMinnesota United FC

New York City FC 1-2 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 06 Apr 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs New York City FC41%

  • New York City FC 41%
  • Draw 26%
  • Minnesota United FC 32%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 41.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and New York City FC did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026.

New York City FC: LLLLW

Minnesota United FC: WLDWD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-04-06New York City FC vs Minnesota United FC1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win New York City FC vs Minnesota United FC?
Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does New York City FC vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
Sun, 06 Apr 2025 19:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the New York City FC vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.