New York City FCvs
Minnesota United FCNew York City FC 1-2 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 06 Apr 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC41%
- New York City FC
- Draw
- Minnesota United FC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 41.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and New York City FC did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Minnesota United FC's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. New York City FC's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 7 Oct 2026.
New York City FC: DLWLD
Minnesota United FC: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 7 Oct 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | New York City FC vs Minnesota United FC | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs Minnesota United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York City FC vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
- Sun, 06 Apr 2025 19:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New York City FC vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.