New York City FC 1-2 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 06 Apr 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC41%
- New York City FC 41%
- Draw 26%
- Minnesota United FC 32%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 41.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and New York City FC did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
New York City FC: LLLLW
Minnesota United FC: WLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | New York City FC vs Minnesota United FC | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs Minnesota United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York City FC vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
- Sun, 06 Apr 2025 19:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New York City FC vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.