New York Red Bulls 2-2 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 28 Jun 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC38%
- New York Red Bulls
- Draw
- Minnesota United FC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Minnesota United FC, rating it at 38.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and New York Red Bulls did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Minnesota United FC's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 5 Oct 2026.
New York Red Bulls: LWWLD
Minnesota United FC: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 5 Oct 2026.
- 1Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-28 | New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United FC | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
- Sat, 28 Jun 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.