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New York Red Bulls crestNew York Red BullsvsMinnesota United FC crestMinnesota United FC

New York Red Bulls 2-2 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 28 Jun 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Minnesota United FC38%

  • New York Red Bulls 36%
  • Draw 26%
  • Minnesota United FC 38%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Minnesota United FC, rating it at 38.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and New York Red Bulls did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026.

New York Red Bulls: DLLWL

Minnesota United FC: WLDWD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-06-28New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United FC2–2

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FAQ

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United FC?
Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
Sat, 28 Jun 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the New York Red Bulls vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

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