New York Red Bullsvs
Orlando CityNew York Red Bulls 3-2 Orlando City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 01 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City40%
- New York Red Bulls 37%
- Draw 23%
- Orlando City 40%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Orlando City, rating it at 39.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New York Red Bulls won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 22 Aug 2026.
New York Red Bulls: LLWLL
Orlando City: LDDLW
Head-to-head
As of 22 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City | 3–2 |
| 2025-04-12 | Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-15 | New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City kick off?
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.