New York Red Bullsvs
Real Salt LakeNew York Red Bulls 2-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 10 Aug 2025 22:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls51%
- New York Red Bulls 51%
- Draw 25%
- Real Salt Lake 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 51.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and New York Red Bulls won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
New York Red Bulls: DLLWL
Real Salt Lake: LLDWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-10 | New York Red Bulls vs Real Salt Lake | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Real Salt Lake?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
- Sun, 10 Aug 2025 22:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.