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New York Red Bulls crestNew York Red BullsvsSaint Louis City crestSaint Louis City

New York Red Bulls vs Saint Louis City Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs New York Red Bulls52%

New York Red Bulls 52%
Draw 23%
Saint Louis City 24%
  • New York Red Bulls 52%
  • Draw 23%
  • Saint Louis City 24%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 52.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

New York Red Bulls: LLWDW

Saint Louis City: WWWWD

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Saint Louis City?
Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does New York Red Bulls vs Saint Louis City kick off?
Sat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.

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