New York Red Bullsvs
Saint Louis CityNew York Red Bulls 0-3 Saint Louis City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 30 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls45%
- New York Red Bulls
- Draw
- Saint Louis City
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 45.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and New York Red Bulls did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Saint Louis City's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Saint Louis City's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 2 Oct 2026.
New York Red Bulls: LWWLD
Saint Louis City: WWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Oct 2026.
- 1Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | New York Red Bulls vs Saint Louis City | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Saint Louis City?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Saint Louis City kick off?
- Wed, 30 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York Red Bulls vs Saint Louis City head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.