New York Red Bullsvs
Saint Louis CityNew York Red Bulls vs Saint Louis City Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls52%
- New York Red Bulls 52%
- Draw 23%
- Saint Louis City 24%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick New York Red Bulls, rating it at 52.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. Saint Louis City's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 15 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
New York Red Bulls: LDLDL
Saint Louis City: DWDWD
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs Saint Louis City?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs Saint Louis City kick off?
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.