Orlando City crestOrlando CityvsCF Montreal crestCF Montreal

Orlando City 1-1 CF Montreal — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 12 Jul 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Orlando City65%

Tofiko65% / 20% / 15%
Market67% / 19% / 14%
  • Orlando City
  • Draw
  • CF Montreal

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 65.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Orlando City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Orlando City's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. CF Montreal's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Orlando City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 5 Oct 2026.

Orlando City: LLLWW

CF Montreal: WLWLL

Head-to-head

As of 5 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 1.33Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-09CF Montreal vs Orlando City2–0
2025-07-12Orlando City vs CF Montreal1–1
2025-04-19CF Montreal vs Orlando City0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Orlando City vs CF Montreal?
Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Orlando City vs CF Montreal kick off?
Sat, 12 Jul 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Orlando City vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legCF Montreal 0-0 Orlando City SC19 Apr 2025 →