Orlando Cityvs
CF MontrealOrlando City 1-1 CF Montreal — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 12 Jul 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City65%
- Orlando City 65%
- Draw 20%
- CF Montreal 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 65.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Orlando City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Orlando City: WLDDL
CF Montreal: DWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | CF Montreal vs Orlando City | 2–0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Orlando City vs CF Montreal | 1–1 |
| 2025-04-19 | CF Montreal vs Orlando City | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Orlando City vs CF Montreal?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Orlando City vs CF Montreal kick off?
- Sat, 12 Jul 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Orlando City vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.