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Orlando City crestOrlando CityvsPortland Timbers crestPortland Timbers

Orlando City 1-0 Portland Timbers — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 24 May 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Orlando City57%

  • Orlando City 57%
  • Draw 22%
  • Portland Timbers 21%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 56.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Orlando City won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026.

Orlando City: WLDDL

Portland Timbers: DWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026.

  • 1Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-24Orlando City vs Portland Timbers1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Orlando City vs Portland Timbers?
Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Orlando City vs Portland Timbers kick off?
Sat, 24 May 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Orlando City vs Portland Timbers head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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