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Orlando City crestOrlando CityvsReal Salt Lake crestReal Salt Lake

Orlando City vs Real Salt Lake Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Orlando City55%

  • Orlando City 55%
  • Draw 22%
  • Real Salt Lake 23%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 54.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The model puts the draw at 22.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 22 Aug 2026.

Orlando City: LDDLW

Real Salt Lake: LDWWD

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Orlando City vs Real Salt Lake?
Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Orlando City vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
Sat, 22 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.

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