Philadelphia Unionvs
Inter Miami CFPhiladelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerWed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union41%
- Philadelphia Union 41%
- Draw 21%
- Inter Miami CF 38%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Philadelphia Union, rating it at 40.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Philadelphia Union won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Philadelphia Union: WWLDL
Inter Miami CF: WWWWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 6.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Inter Miami CF vs Philadelphia Union | 6–4 |
| 2025-05-24 | Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF | 3–3 |
| 2025-03-29 | Inter Miami CF vs Philadelphia Union | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF kick off?
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 6.33 goals per game.