Philadelphia Unionvs
Inter Miami CFPhiladelphia Union 2-2 Inter Miami CF — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union49%
- Philadelphia Union 49%
- Draw 21%
- Inter Miami CF 30%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 49.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Philadelphia Union won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Philadelphia Union: DWLWL
Inter Miami CF: LDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 5.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-24 | Inter Miami CF vs Philadelphia Union | 6–4 |
| 2025-05-24 | Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF | 3–3 |
| 2025-03-29 | Inter Miami CF vs Philadelphia Union | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF kick off?
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.75 goals per game.