Philadelphia Unionvs
Inter Miami CFPhiladelphia Union 2-2 Inter Miami CF — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union49%
- Philadelphia Union
- Draw
- Inter Miami CF
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 49.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Philadelphia Union won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 25 goals — 5.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 2. Inter Miami CF's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
Philadelphia Union: WWWWW
Inter Miami CF: LDWDD
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 5.75Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-24 | Inter Miami CF vs Philadelphia Union | 6–4 |
| 2025-05-24 | Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF | 3–3 |
| 2025-03-29 | Inter Miami CF vs Philadelphia Union | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF kick off?
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.75 goals per game.