Philadelphia Unionvs
Los Angeles GalaxyPhiladelphia Union 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Wed, 14 May 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union68%
- Philadelphia Union 68%
- Draw 19%
- Los Angeles Galaxy 13%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 68.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Philadelphia Union won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 68.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Los Angeles Galaxy's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 19.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Philadelphia Union: DDWLW
Los Angeles Galaxy: DWLDD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-14 | Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles Galaxy kick off?
- Wed, 14 May 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.