Philadelphia Unionvs
Seattle Sounders FCPhiladelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 25 Jul 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Philadelphia Union 1–0 Seattle Sounders FC
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union55%
- Philadelphia Union 55%
- Draw 22%
- Seattle Sounders FC 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 54.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Philadelphia Union won all of them. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Philadelphia Union's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Seattle Sounders FC's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Philadelphia Union: WWLDL
Seattle Sounders FC: LLLLL
Head-to-head
- 1Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders FC | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders FC kick off?
- Sat, 25 Jul 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Seattle Sounders FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.