Philadelphia Unionvs
Saint Louis CityPhiladelphia Union 1-0 Saint Louis City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 22 Mar 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union65%
- Philadelphia Union 65%
- Draw 21%
- Saint Louis City 14%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 65.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Philadelphia Union won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 65.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Philadelphia Union: DDWLW
Saint Louis City: WDWDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-22 | Philadelphia Union vs Saint Louis City | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Saint Louis City?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Saint Louis City kick off?
- Sat, 22 Mar 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Saint Louis City head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.