Philadelphia Unionvs
Saint Louis CityPhiladelphia Union 1-0 Saint Louis City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 22 Mar 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union65%
Tofiko65% / 21% / 14%
Market49% / 25% / 27%
- Philadelphia Union
- Draw
- Saint Louis City
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 65.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Philadelphia Union won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 7 Oct 2026.
Philadelphia Union: WWWWW
Saint Louis City: WWWWD
Head-to-head
As of 7 Oct 2026.
- 1Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-22 | Philadelphia Union vs Saint Louis City | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Saint Louis City?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (65% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Saint Louis City kick off?
- Sat, 22 Mar 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Saint Louis City head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.