Portland Timbersvs
Austin FCPortland Timbers 1-2 Austin FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 30 Aug 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Portland Timbers55%
- Portland Timbers 55%
- Draw 23%
- Austin FC 22%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Portland Timbers, rating it at 54.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Portland Timbers won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Portland Timbers's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Austin FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Portland Timbers's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Portland Timbers: DWLDW
Austin FC: DDWLD
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Portland Timbers vs Austin FC | 1–2 |
| 2025-04-05 | Austin FC vs Portland Timbers | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-02 | Portland Timbers vs Austin FC | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Portland Timbers vs Austin FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Portland Timbers (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Portland Timbers vs Austin FC kick off?
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Portland Timbers vs Austin FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.