Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 26 Jul 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Portland Timbers 2–1 Real Salt Lake
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Portland Timbers48%
- Portland Timbers 48%
- Draw 25%
- Real Salt Lake 27%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Portland Timbers, rating it at 48.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Portland Timbers won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Portland Timbers: WDWLL
Real Salt Lake: LLWDW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers | 2–0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake | 0–1 |
| 2025-05-15 | Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake?
- Tofiko's model favours Portland Timbers (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
- Sun, 26 Jul 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.