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Portland Timbers crestPortland TimbersvsReal Salt Lake crestReal Salt Lake

Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 26 Jul 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Portland Timbers 21 Real Salt Lake

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Portland Timbers48%

Portland Timbers 48%
Draw 25%
Real Salt Lake 27%
  • Portland Timbers 48%
  • Draw 25%
  • Real Salt Lake 27%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Portland Timbers, rating it at 48.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Portland Timbers won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Portland Timbers: WDWLL

Real Salt Lake: LLWDW

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-26Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake2–1
2026-05-02Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers2–0
2025-07-17Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake0–1
2025-05-15Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake?
Tofiko's model favours Portland Timbers (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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