Portland Timbers 2-2 Saint Louis City — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 10 Sep 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Portland Timbers48%
- Portland Timbers 48%
- Draw 22%
- Saint Louis City 30%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Portland Timbers, rating it at 48.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Portland Timbers won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Portland Timbers's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Portland Timbers: DWLDW
Saint Louis City: DWDWD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Portland Timbers vs Saint Louis City | 2–2 |
| 2025-07-13 | Saint Louis City vs Portland Timbers | 2–1 |
| 2025-06-08 | Portland Timbers vs Saint Louis City | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Portland Timbers vs Saint Louis City?
- Tofiko's model favours Portland Timbers (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Portland Timbers vs Saint Louis City kick off?
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Portland Timbers vs Saint Louis City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.