Real Salt Lake crestReal Salt LakevsMinnesota United FC crestMinnesota United FC

Real Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 16 Aug 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Salt Lake46%

Tofiko46% / 24% / 30%
Market53% / 24% / 23%
  • Real Salt Lake
  • Draw
  • Minnesota United FC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Salt Lake, rating it at 46.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Real Salt Lake won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Minnesota United FC's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Real Salt Lake's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Real Salt Lake: WLLLL

Minnesota United FC: LLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 4Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-16Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC1–1
2026-05-23Minnesota United FC vs Real Salt Lake1–1
2025-08-24Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC1–3
2025-03-30Minnesota United FC vs Real Salt Lake2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
Tofiko's model favours Real Salt Lake (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

First legMinnesota United FC 2-0 Real Salt Lake30 Mar 2025 →