Real Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 16 Aug 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Salt Lake46%
- Real Salt Lake
- Draw
- Minnesota United FC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Salt Lake, rating it at 46.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Real Salt Lake won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Minnesota United FC's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Real Salt Lake's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
Real Salt Lake: WLLLL
Minnesota United FC: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Minnesota United FC vs Real Salt Lake | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC | 1–3 |
| 2025-03-30 | Minnesota United FC vs Real Salt Lake | 2–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Salt Lake (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.