Real Salt Lakevs
Minnesota United FCReal Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 16 Aug 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Salt Lake46%
- Real Salt Lake 46%
- Draw 24%
- Minnesota United FC 30%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Salt Lake, rating it at 46.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Real Salt Lake won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
Real Salt Lake: LLDWW
Minnesota United FC: LDWDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 4Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Minnesota United FC vs Real Salt Lake | 1–1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC | 1–3 |
| 2025-03-30 | Minnesota United FC vs Real Salt Lake | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Salt Lake (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Real Salt Lake vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.