San Diego FCvs
Philadelphia UnionSan Diego FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerMon, 14 Sep 2026 01:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Diego FC46%
- San Diego FC 46%
- Draw 24%
- Philadelphia Union 31%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick San Diego FC, rating it at 45.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
San Diego FC: WLLDW
Philadelphia Union: WWLDL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win San Diego FC vs Philadelphia Union?
- Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Diego FC vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
- Mon, 14 Sep 2026 01:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.