San Diego FC crestSan Diego FCvsReal Salt Lake crestReal Salt Lake

San Diego FC 1-3 Real Salt Lake — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 26 Apr 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs San Diego FC63%

Tofiko63% / 22% / 15%
Market52% / 25% / 22%
  • San Diego FC
  • Draw
  • Real Salt Lake

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick San Diego FC, rating it at 63.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and San Diego FC won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. San Diego FC's last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. Real Salt Lake's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • San Diego FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 7 Oct 2026.

San Diego FC: DDLLL

Real Salt Lake: WLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 7 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 4.67Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-17Real Salt Lake vs San Diego FC4–2
2025-04-26San Diego FC vs Real Salt Lake1–3
2025-03-09Real Salt Lake vs San Diego FC1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win San Diego FC vs Real Salt Lake?
Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does San Diego FC vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
Sat, 26 Apr 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the San Diego FC vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legReal Salt Lake 1-3 San Diego9 Mar 2025 →