San Diego FCvs
Real Salt LakeSan Diego FC 1-3 Real Salt Lake — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 26 Apr 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Diego FC63%
- San Diego FC 63%
- Draw 22%
- Real Salt Lake 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick San Diego FC, rating it at 63.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and San Diego FC won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
San Diego FC: WLWWW
Real Salt Lake: LLDWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Real Salt Lake vs San Diego FC | 4–2 |
| 2025-04-26 | San Diego FC vs Real Salt Lake | 1–3 |
| 2025-03-09 | Real Salt Lake vs San Diego FC | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win San Diego FC vs Real Salt Lake?
- Tofiko's model favours San Diego FC (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Diego FC vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
- Sat, 26 Apr 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the San Diego FC vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.67 goals per game.