San Jose Earthquakesvs
D.C. UnitedSan Jose Earthquakes 6-1 D.C. United — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 06 Apr 2025 21:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes64%
- San Jose Earthquakes 64%
- Draw 19%
- D.C. United 17%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 64.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and San Jose Earthquakes won it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 64.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
D.C. United: LLDDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 1Games
- 7.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-06 | San Jose Earthquakes vs D.C. United | 6–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs D.C. United?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs D.C. United kick off?
- Sun, 06 Apr 2025 21:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 7.00 goals per game.