San Jose Earthquakesvs
Los Angeles FCSan Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 19 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes42%
- San Jose Earthquakes 42%
- Draw 22%
- Los Angeles FC 37%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 41.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and San Jose Earthquakes won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. San Jose Earthquakes's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Los Angeles FC's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 28 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
Los Angeles FC: DLLDW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 28 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 4.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–4 |
| 2025-09-14 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC | 2–4 |
| 2025-04-13 | Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.67 goals per game.