San Jose Earthquakesvs
Los Angeles FCSan Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 19 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes42%
- San Jose Earthquakes 42%
- Draw 22%
- Los Angeles FC 37%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 41.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and San Jose Earthquakes won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
San Jose Earthquakes: DLLWL
Los Angeles FC: WWWWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 1–4 |
| 2025-09-14 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC | 2–4 |
| 2025-04-13 | Los Angeles FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.67 goals per game.