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Seattle Sounders FC crestSeattle Sounders FCvsChicago Fire crestChicago Fire

Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSat, 29 Aug 2026 20:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Seattle Sounders FC46%

Seattle Sounders FC 46%
Draw 21%
Chicago Fire 33%
  • Seattle Sounders FC 46%
  • Draw 21%
  • Chicago Fire 33%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Seattle Sounders FC, rating it at 46.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Seattle Sounders FC: LLLLL

Chicago Fire: LLWWW

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FAQ

Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire?
Tofiko's model favours Seattle Sounders FC (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire kick off?
Sat, 29 Aug 2026 20:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.

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