Seattle Sounders FCvs
Chicago FireSeattle Sounders FC 2-2 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 29 Aug 2026 20:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Seattle Sounders FC49%
- Seattle Sounders FC 49%
- Draw 23%
- Chicago Fire 28%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Seattle Sounders FC, rating it at 49.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Seattle Sounders FC did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 49.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Chicago Fire's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Seattle Sounders FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Seattle Sounders FC: DDDLL
Chicago Fire: DDDLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 1Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire | 2–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours Seattle Sounders FC (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 20:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Seattle Sounders FC vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.