Seattle Sounders FCvs
FC DallasSeattle Sounders FC 1-0 FC Dallas — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 24 May 2025 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Seattle Sounders FC54%
- Seattle Sounders FC 54%
- Draw 22%
- FC Dallas 24%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Seattle Sounders FC, rating it at 54.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Seattle Sounders FC won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Dallas's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Seattle Sounders FC's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Seattle Sounders FC: DDDLL
FC Dallas: WWDLW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Seattle Sounders FC vs FC Dallas | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Seattle Sounders FC vs FC Dallas | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-13 | FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs FC Dallas?
- Tofiko's model favours Seattle Sounders FC (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Seattle Sounders FC vs FC Dallas kick off?
- Sat, 24 May 2025 19:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Seattle Sounders FC vs FC Dallas head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.