FC Dallasvs
Seattle Sounders FCFC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Dallas42%
- FC Dallas 42%
- Draw 23%
- Seattle Sounders FC 35%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Dallas, rating it at 42.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and FC Dallas won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- FC Dallas's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
FC Dallas: LWWLW
Seattle Sounders FC: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Seattle Sounders FC vs FC Dallas | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-24 | Seattle Sounders FC vs FC Dallas | 1–0 |
| 2025-04-13 | FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Dallas (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC kick off?
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.