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Seattle Sounders FC crestSeattle Sounders FCvsReal Salt Lake crestReal Salt Lake

Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerThu, 24 Sep 2026 01:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Seattle Sounders FC54%

Seattle Sounders FC 54%
Draw 23%
Real Salt Lake 22%
  • Seattle Sounders FC 54%
  • Draw 23%
  • Real Salt Lake 22%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Seattle Sounders FC, rating it at 54.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Seattle Sounders FC won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Seattle Sounders FC: LLLLL

Real Salt Lake: LLWDW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-10-12Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake1–0
2025-03-01Real Salt Lake vs Seattle Sounders FC2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake?
Tofiko's model favours Seattle Sounders FC (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
Thu, 24 Sep 2026 01:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Seattle Sounders FC vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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