CF Montreal 3-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati50%
- CF Montreal
- Draw
- FC Cincinnati
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 50.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and CF Montreal won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. CF Montreal's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
What to keep in mind
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
CF Montreal: WLWLL
FC Cincinnati: LDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-18 | FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal | 3–0 |
| 2025-06-25 | CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.