CF Montreal crestCF MontrealvsFC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati

CF Montreal 3-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Cincinnati50%

Tofiko27% / 23% / 50%
Market35% / 24% / 41%
  • CF Montreal
  • Draw
  • FC Cincinnati

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 50.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and CF Montreal won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 5. CF Montreal's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

CF Montreal: WLWLL

FC Cincinnati: LDDLL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-26CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati3–1
2025-10-18FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal3–0
2025-06-25CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
Sat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legFC Cincinnati 3-0 CF Montreal18 Oct 2025 →