CF Montrealvs
FC CincinnatiCF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Cincinnati51%
- CF Montreal 26%
- Draw 23%
- FC Cincinnati 51%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 50.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and CF Montreal won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. FC Cincinnati's last 5 produced 28 goals — 5.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. CF Montreal's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
CF Montreal: LLDWW
FC Cincinnati: LWWWD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | FC Cincinnati vs CF Montreal | 3–0 |
| 2025-06-25 | CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati | 1–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the CF Montreal vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.