Philadelphia Unionvs
Orlando CityPhiladelphia Union vs Orlando City Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union51%
- Philadelphia Union 51%
- Draw 22%
- Orlando City 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 51.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Philadelphia Union won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Philadelphia Union: WWLDL
Orlando City: WWLWD
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union | 4–3 |
| 2025-04-05 | Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City | 0–0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union | 2–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City kick off?
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.