Philadelphia Unionvs
Orlando CityPhiladelphia Union vs Orlando City Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union51%
- Philadelphia Union 51%
- Draw 22%
- Orlando City 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 51.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Philadelphia Union won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 34 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Philadelphia Union: DDWLW
Orlando City: WLDDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 34 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union | 4–3 |
| 2025-04-05 | Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City | 0–0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union | 2–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City kick off?
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.