Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union54%
Tofiko54% / 22% / 24%
Market65% / 18% / 17%
- Philadelphia Union
- Draw
- Orlando City
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 54.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Philadelphia Union won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 20 Sep 2026.
Philadelphia Union: WWWWW
Orlando City: LLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 20 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union | 4–3 |
| 2025-04-05 | Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City | 0–0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union | 2–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City kick off?
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.