Philadelphia Union crestPhiladelphia UnionvsOrlando City crestOrlando City

Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Philadelphia Union54%

Tofiko54% / 22% / 24%
Market65% / 18% / 17%
  • Philadelphia Union
  • Draw
  • Orlando City

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 54.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Philadelphia Union won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 20 Sep 2026.

Philadelphia Union: WWWWW

Orlando City: LLWWW

Head-to-head

As of 20 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 4.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-13Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union4–3
2025-04-05Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City0–0
2025-02-23Orlando City vs Philadelphia Union2–4

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FAQ

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City?
Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City kick off?
Sat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Philadelphia Union vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legOrlando City SC 2-4 Philadelphia Union23 Feb 2025 →