Charlotte FCvs
Chicago FireCharlotte FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Charlotte FC46%
- Charlotte FC 46%
- Draw 22%
- Chicago Fire 33%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 45.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Charlotte FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 35 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Charlotte FC: DWLWW
Chicago Fire: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 35 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-06-29 | Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC | 3–2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire | 1–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.