Charlotte FCvs
Chicago FireCharlotte FC vs Chicago Fire Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Charlotte FC46%
- Charlotte FC 46%
- Draw 22%
- Chicago Fire 33%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 45.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Charlotte FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Charlotte FC: LWDWW
Chicago Fire: WLLWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-06-29 | Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC | 3–2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire | 1–4 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.