Houston Dynamovs
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 27 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo58%
- Houston Dynamo 58%
- Draw 22%
- Sporting Kansas City 20%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 57.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Houston Dynamo won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Houston Dynamo: WWDWW
Sporting Kansas City: LLWLL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo | 0–2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo | 0–0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sun, 27 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.