Houston Dynamovs
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 27 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Houston Dynamo58%
- Houston Dynamo 58%
- Draw 22%
- Sporting Kansas City 20%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Houston Dynamo, rating it at 57.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Houston Dynamo won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 35 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Houston Dynamo: LWWWW
Sporting Kansas City: DLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 35 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo | 0–2 |
| 2025-10-19 | Sporting Kansas City vs Houston Dynamo | 0–0 |
| 2025-06-01 | Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City?
- Tofiko's model favours Houston Dynamo (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City kick off?
- Sun, 27 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Houston Dynamo vs Sporting Kansas City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.