Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Los Angeles GalaxySporting Kansas City 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 04 May 2025 23:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sporting Kansas City43%
Tofiko43% / 22% / 35%
Market47% / 26% / 28%
- Sporting Kansas City
- Draw
- Los Angeles Galaxy
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting Kansas City, rating it at 42.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Sporting Kansas City's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 4 Oct 2026.
Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL
Los Angeles Galaxy: WWDLW
Head-to-head
As of 4 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 3–1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs Sporting Kansas City | 4–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting Kansas City (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy kick off?
- Sun, 04 May 2025 23:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.