Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Los Angeles GalaxySporting Kansas City 1-0 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sun, 04 May 2025 23:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sporting Kansas City43%
- Sporting Kansas City 43%
- Draw 22%
- Los Angeles Galaxy 35%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Sporting Kansas City, rating it at 42.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Sporting Kansas City: LLLDL
Los Angeles Galaxy: LWLDW
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 3–1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Los Angeles Galaxy vs Sporting Kansas City | 4–1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
- Tofiko's model favours Sporting Kansas City (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy kick off?
- Sun, 04 May 2025 23:00 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.