Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 23 Jul 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC53%
Tofiko25% / 22% / 53%
Market28% / 24% / 48%
- Sporting Kansas City
- Draw
- Minnesota United FC
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 53.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 3 Oct 2026.
Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL
Minnesota United FC: LLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 3 Oct 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC | 2–1 |
| 2025-10-05 | Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City | 3–0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC | 3–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
- Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.