Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas CityvsMinnesota United FC crestMinnesota United FC

Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Minnesota United FC — Result, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerThu, 23 Jul 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Minnesota United FC53%

Tofiko25% / 22% / 53%
Market28% / 24% / 48%
  • Sporting Kansas City
  • Draw
  • Minnesota United FC

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 53.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Sporting Kansas City won 1 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026.

Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL

Minnesota United FC: LLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 4.00Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-23Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC2–1
2025-10-05Minnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City3–0
2025-03-16Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC3–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC?
Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureMinnesota United FC vs Sporting Kansas City29 Oct 2026 →