Sporting Kansas Cityvs
Philadelphia UnionSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia Union — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 20 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union53%
Tofiko25% / 22% / 53%
Market16% / 19% / 65%
- Sporting Kansas City
- Draw
- Philadelphia Union
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 53.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Sporting Kansas City did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 2 Oct 2026.
Sporting Kansas City: LWLWL
Philadelphia Union: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 2 Oct 2026.
- 1Games
- 7.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union | 3–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Sporting Kansas City vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 7.00 goals per game.