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Saint Louis City crestSaint Louis CityvsColorado Rapids crestColorado Rapids

Saint Louis City vs Colorado Rapids Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 26 Jul 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Saint Louis City 10 Colorado Rapids

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Saint Louis City49%

Saint Louis City 49%
Draw 25%
Colorado Rapids 27%
  • Saint Louis City 49%
  • Draw 25%
  • Colorado Rapids 27%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 48.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Saint Louis City won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Saint Louis City's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Colorado Rapids's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Saint Louis City: WWWWD

Colorado Rapids: LWDLW

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 0.75Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-26Saint Louis City vs Colorado Rapids1–0
2026-05-10Colorado Rapids vs Saint Louis City0–1
2025-05-25Colorado Rapids vs Saint Louis City1–0
2025-02-23Saint Louis City vs Colorado Rapids0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Saint Louis City vs Colorado Rapids?
Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Saint Louis City vs Colorado Rapids kick off?
Sun, 26 Jul 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Saint Louis City vs Colorado Rapids head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 0.75 goals per game.

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