Saint Louis City vs Colorado Rapids Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 26 Jul 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Saint Louis City 1–0 Colorado Rapids
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Saint Louis City49%
- Saint Louis City 49%
- Draw 25%
- Colorado Rapids 27%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 48.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Saint Louis City won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Saint Louis City's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Colorado Rapids's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Saint Louis City: WWWWD
Colorado Rapids: LWDLW
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 0.75Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Saint Louis City vs Colorado Rapids | 1–0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Colorado Rapids vs Saint Louis City | 0–1 |
| 2025-05-25 | Colorado Rapids vs Saint Louis City | 1–0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Saint Louis City vs Colorado Rapids | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Colorado Rapids?
- Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Colorado Rapids kick off?
- Sun, 26 Jul 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs Colorado Rapids head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 0.75 goals per game.