Saint Louis Cityvs
Houston DynamoSaint Louis City 2-1 Houston Dynamo — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 23 Aug 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Saint Louis City42%
- Saint Louis City 42%
- Draw 25%
- Houston Dynamo 33%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 41.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Saint Louis City won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Saint Louis City's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Houston Dynamo's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 10 Sep 2026.
Saint Louis City: DWDWD
Houston Dynamo: WDDLW
Head-to-head
As of 10 Sep 2026.
- 4Games
- 3.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Saint Louis City vs Houston Dynamo | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Saint Louis City vs Houston Dynamo | 2–2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Saint Louis City vs Houston Dynamo | 2–3 |
| 2025-06-29 | Houston Dynamo vs Saint Louis City | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?
- Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.