Saint Louis Cityvs
Houston DynamoSaint Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 23 Aug 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Saint Louis City41%
- Saint Louis City 41%
- Draw 25%
- Houston Dynamo 34%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 41.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Saint Louis City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Saint Louis City: WWWWD
Houston Dynamo: WDWWD
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Saint Louis City vs Houston Dynamo | 2–2 |
| 2025-08-31 | Saint Louis City vs Houston Dynamo | 2–3 |
| 2025-06-29 | Houston Dynamo vs Saint Louis City | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?
- Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (41% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Houston Dynamo kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs Houston Dynamo head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.