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Saint Louis City crestSaint Louis CityvsReal Salt Lake crestReal Salt Lake

Saint Louis City vs Real Salt Lake Prediction, H2H & Stats

Major League SoccerSun, 02 Aug 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Saint Louis City46%

Saint Louis City 46%
Draw 25%
Real Salt Lake 29%
  • Saint Louis City 46%
  • Draw 25%
  • Real Salt Lake 29%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 46.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Saint Louis City won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Saint Louis City: WWWWD

Real Salt Lake: LLWDW

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-10-19Saint Louis City vs Real Salt Lake2–2
2025-07-06Real Salt Lake vs Saint Louis City3–2

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FAQ

Who will win Saint Louis City vs Real Salt Lake?
Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Saint Louis City vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Saint Louis City vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

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