Saint Louis Cityvs
Real Salt LakeSaint Louis City 1-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 02 Aug 2026 00:40 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Saint Louis City46%
- Saint Louis City 46%
- Draw 25%
- Real Salt Lake 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 46.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Saint Louis City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Saint Louis City: DWDWD
Real Salt Lake: LDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-02 | Saint Louis City vs Real Salt Lake | 1–1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Saint Louis City vs Real Salt Lake | 2–2 |
| 2025-07-06 | Real Salt Lake vs Saint Louis City | 3–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Real Salt Lake?
- Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:40 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Saint Louis City vs Real Salt Lake head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.