Saint Louis Cityvs
Toronto FCSaint Louis City vs Toronto FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 20 Sep 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Saint Louis City44%
- Saint Louis City 44%
- Draw 26%
- Toronto FC 30%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Saint Louis City, rating it at 44.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. Saint Louis City's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Toronto FC's 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Saint Louis City: WWWWD
Toronto FC: DLDDL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Saint Louis City vs Toronto FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Saint Louis City (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Saint Louis City vs Toronto FC kick off?
- Sun, 20 Sep 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.